Travel log

28, June, 2024
A new preprint describing procedures and results for several species’ life stages in Nature Forecast has been made available on bioRxiv. [CC]

5 May, 2024
The paper describing the main modelling architecture was now accepted for publication in open access at BioScience. [CC]

11 Mar, 2024
Issues with GFS data extraction due to demands for higher request latencies. Did not affect the forecast due to backup storage of days-ahead weather forecasts. Workflows now updated to deal with the new latency demands on all servers. [CC]

10 Feb, 2024
Early forecasting of low to medium probability levels for adults of Cacyreus marshalli in the southern Iberian Peninsula led us to perform an in-depth examination of the model. The results seem feasible, driven by very warm winter temperatures, and align with expectations for the species at lower latitudes, such as in North Africa. An apparent sign of climate change affecting in phenology – fascinating/alarming stuff. [CC]

16 Jan, 2024
Back-end server maintenance, upgrading and verification tests. All systems working. [CC]

20 Nov, 2023
Updates to mask map layers of several species, accounting for improved consideration for models’ extrapolation. [CC]

21 Oct, 2023
Added terms of service and changed the area of forecasting for Popillia japonica. It now omits also the south of the UK due to persistent extrapolation conditions. [CC]

14 Oct, 2023
Two new servers running and supporting the calculation of predictions. Minor changes and updates also added to the web interface. [CC]

25 Aug, 2023
Morning spent adding two new forecasts: butterfly stage of the Geranium bronze and flowering of the Large-leaved lupine. All systems ok. [CC]

May-Jul, 2023
The journey begins intermittently, with hours/weeks (months probably) implementing the models and developing the web interface. Four forecasts are running and being delivered smoothly: detectability of the invasive species Popillia japonica, Craspedacusta sowerbii, Ludwigia peploides, and probability of occurrence of fruiting bodies of Craterellus tubaeformis. [CC]

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