Flowering of Floating primrose-willow (Ludwigia peploides) in Europe – 9 days forecast

Today and coming two days

In 4 to 6 days

In 7 to 9 days

Technical description

Forecasted event: Probability of flowering of Floating primrose-willow (Ludwigia peploides).

Forecast region: European Continent, in areas deemed suitable to the establishment of the species (in grey if otherwise).

Context: The Floating primrose-willow has spread to many regions across the world, including Europe. Its distinctive yellow flowers bloom during warmer months in temperate latitudes, making it easier to detect and identify. To assist in identifying potential areas where this species may occur, the maps above indicate the probability of flowering based on preceding environmental factors such as temperature, precipitation, wind speed, and snow accumulation.

More information/citation:
Capinha C, Ceia-Hasse A, de-Miguel S, Vila-Viçosa C, Porto M, Jarić I, Tiago P, Fernandez N, Valdez J, McCallum I, Pereira HM. (2024) Using citizen science data for predicting the timing of ecological phenomena across regions. BioScience. https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biae041

Capinha C, Monteiro AT, Ceia-Hasse A (2024) Supporting early detection of biological invasions through short-term spatial forecasts of detectability. : 2024.06.12.598508. Biorxiv (preprint) https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.06.12.598508

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