Japanese beetle

Popillia japonica

Probability of adult Japanese beetle occurrence across Europe, designed to support the timing of surveillance and early-detection actions.

FORECAST EVENTAdult occurrence

REGIONEurope

HORIZON9 days

UPDATEDaily

CURRENT FORECAST

Adults of Japanese beetle in Europe — 9-day forecast

Map images are requested with a unique timestamp on every page load to avoid stale browser-cached versions.

Japanese beetle forecast map — Today + 2 days — Grey areas are expected to be unsuitable for establishment of the species or indicate high predictive uncertainty.

Japanese beetle forecast map — Days 4–6 — Grey areas are expected to be unsuitable for establishment of the species or indicate high predictive uncertainty.

Japanese beetle forecast map — Days 7–9 — Grey areas are expected to be unsuitable for establishment of the species or indicate high predictive uncertainty.

TECHNICAL DESCRIPTION

What does this product show?

Forecasted event: Probability of adult occurrence for Popillia japonica.
Forecast region: Europe.
Forecast periods: Today–2 days, days 4–6, and days 7–9.
Status: Research-driven operational product updated by the NatureForecast modelling workflow.

SCIENCE & CITATION

Research behind the forecast

Capinha C et al. (2024). Using citizen science data for predicting the timing of ecological phenomena across regions. BioScience.
DOI ↗
Capinha C, Monteiro AT & Ceia-Hasse A (2024). Supporting early detection of biological invasions through short-term spatial forecasts of detectability. NeoBiota 96: 191–210.
DOI ↗

Terms of use

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